Apertura 2025, with only one ticket to the Liguilla at stake

The regular season of the 2025 Apertura is entering its decisive phase, and the outlook for the Liga MX Liguilla is beginning to take shape. With two matches remaining, Toluca , Tigres , Cruz Azul , América , and Rayados have already mathematically secured their direct qualification to the Quarterfinals, while the last available spot keeps several teams in suspense .

Chivas currently sits sixth in the standings with 23 points, a position that grants them the last direct pass to the Fiesta Grande. However, their margin of maneuver is minimal, as Pachuca , their closest rival, is just one point behind with 22 points.

The fate of both clubs could be decided in advance on Matchday 16, when they face off in a head-to-head duel at Hidalgo Stadium this Sunday, November 2nd. This match is shaping up to be one of the most important in the final stretch of the championship. For the Guadalajara team, a victory would practically secure their direct qualification; while for the Tuzos, it would mean overtaking the Rojiblancos and taking control of the last spot.

But neither team can be complacent , as the real battle is in the seventh to ninth place zone because, in addition to Pachuca, Tijuana and Juárez remain within mathematical possibilities of moving up to sixth place.

Behind the red-and-whites and the Hidalgo team, the Xolos remain on 21 points, and the border team is close behind, with 20 points. Both teams need to close out the playoffs with wins and hope for favorable combinations to advance to the Liguilla without relying on the Play-In.

The margin for error is minimal, and every point will be crucial . With five teams already in the Liguilla and four more fighting for the final spot, the outcome of the regular season of the 2025 Apertura is shaping up to be exciting and likely to end early.