Angela Rayner among 10 Cabinet ministers predicted to lose seats in new poll

Angela Rayner is among 10 Cabinet ministers who would lose their seats if there was a general election tomorrow, according to a new mega poll. The survey by More in Common predicted that 10 of the 23 members of Sir Keir Starmer's top team face being ousted.

They include Deputy Prime Minister Ms Rayner, Home Secretary Yvette Cooper, Health Secretary Wes Streeting and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband. Cabinet Office boss Pat McFadden, Defence Secretary John Healey, Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson, Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds, Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy and Chief Whip Alan Campbell are also at risk.

Nine would see their seats go to Nigel Farage's Reform UK, while Mr Streeting's Ilford North constituency would go to an independent candidate, according to the polling.

The survey of more than 16,000 people projected that Labour would lose 246 seats.

It puts Sir Keir's party in joint second place along with the Tories, both taking 165 MPs.

Meanwhile, Reform - which currently has four MPs - would emerge as the largest party with 180 seats. However, no party would be close to an overall majority.

More in Common's UK director Luke Tryl said British politics has "fragmented to an unprecedented level".

He added: "The coalition for change that elected Keir Starmer’s Government has splintered right and left.

"Nigel Farage's Reform UK emerges as the biggest winners of this Parliament so far, with our model suggesting that they could well become the largest party in Parliament, something almost unthinkable a year ago.

"Though the party remains a long way from being able to secure a majority, it is clear Reform’s momentum is real and the question is whether their new level of support represents the start of a path to Government or a ceiling that Farage’s polarising brand finds hard to overcome.

"Labour, meanwhile, having secured a historic victory now find themselves on the wrong side of a disillusioned electorate frustrated at the slow pace of change and some of the Government’s early missteps.

"Not only would an election tomorrow see the gains of 2024 largely reversed, but the party is also suffering historic losses in heartlands such as the Welsh Valleys, Greater Manchester and South Yorkshire, with 10 Cabinet ministers losing their seats."

The next general election is expected to be held no later than August 2029.

The poll of 16,176 people was carried out from March 14 to April 1.