Miguel Uribe, Vicky Dávila, and Gustavo Bolívar lead voting intentions in the Guarumo July poll.

The most recent Guarumo and Ecoanalítica survey on the electoral outlook for the 2026 presidential elections in Colombia revealed that Miguel Uribe, Vicky Dávila, and Gustavo Bolívar lead in voting intentions . The survey data was collected between July 1 and 5, 2025.

One of the study's questions was about who Colombians would vote for in a 'hypothetical set of possible candidates for the presidency of the Republic of Colombia in 2026.'

With 13.7 percent of the vote, Senator Miguel Uribe leads the voting intentions. He is followed by journalist Vicky Dávila, with 11.5 percent; and the former director of Social Prosperity, Gustavo Bolívar, with 10.5 percent.

Sergio Fajardo and Daniel Quintero are next on the list, with 8.7 percent and 8.1 percent, respectively.

Both former Bogotá mayor Claudia López and the "None" option obtained 5.3 percent in the Guarumo and Ecoanalítica survey.

Then there are figures such as Senator María José Pizarro; the director of the New Liberalism movement, Juan Manuel Galán; former Vice President Germán Vargas Lleras ; and Senator Jota Pe Hernández.

This is how voting intentions are going, according to the Guarumo and Ecoanalítica survey:

The survey also explored citizens' preferences in the event of a referendum between candidates from the Historic Pact, the center, the center-right, the Democratic Center, regional parties, and political parties.

According to the results, those who would participate in a possible consultation between candidates of the Historic Pact would mainly opt for Gustavo Bolívar (29.2 percent), followed by Daniel Quintero (20.0 percent), María José Pizaro (16.7 percent) and Iván Cepeda (10.7 percent).

In a poll among centrist candidates , Sergio Fajardo would lead with 33.9 percent, followed by Claudia López (18.6 percent), Jota Pe Hernández (14.2 percent) and Juan Daniel Oviedo (8.8 percent).

In a poll of center-right candidates , Vicky Dávila leads the poll with 51.9 percent, while Germán Vargas Lleras (20.1 percent), Abelardo de la Espriella (9.1 percent), and Daniel Palacios (7.1 percent) are also among the most mentioned.

In a poll among candidates from the Democratic Center, Miguel Uribe would be elected with 74.4 percent, followed by María Fernanda Cabal (11.4 percent) and Paloma Valencia (6.9 percent).

In a survey of regional candidates , Aníbal García would be in first place with 25.4 percent, followed by Jaime Pumarejo (22.0 percent) and Enrique Peñalosa (18.3 percent).

Finally, in a consultation of political party candidates , the results would be as follows: None (59.3 percent), Ángel Custodio Cabrera (12.3 percent), Felipe Córdoba (11.9 percent), Francisco Barbosa (8.5 percent) and Rubén Darío Lizarralde (8.0 percent).

In addition to investigating the electoral landscape ahead of the 2026 presidential elections, Guarumo and Ecoanalítica also surveyed respondents about Gustavo Petro's term in office.

When asked how they rate his performance, 30.3 percent considered it good, while 26.6 percent rated it as terrible, and 23.7 percent said it was bad. 8.4 percent responded that it was excellent, and 11.0 percent selected "Don't know, no answer."

Regarding the current situation, the pollster also asked: Do you agree with the convening of a National Constituent Assembly in Colombia ?

Regarding this question, 53.9 percent answered no, 31.3 percent said yes, and the remaining 14.9 percent selected 'Don't know, no answer.'

Guarumo and Ecoanalítica also investigated the main concerns of Colombians, revealing that access to healthcare, insecurity, and the cost of living are the issues that generate the greatest concern among the population today.

DIGITAL REACH EDITORIAL