Mexican storm and monsoon will continue to bring heavy and intense rains between Friday and Monday.

MEXICO CITY (apro).- Cyclone Erick is losing strength, but the rainy season will continue over the weekend, the National Meteorological Service (SMN) warned.

The rainfall, which will range from heavy to torrential, will be reinforced by the Mexican monsoon, detailed the National Water Commission (Conagua) in its forecast for June 20-23.

Tropical Cyclone Erick will continue to weaken Thursday night and early Friday morning as it moves over the state of Guerrero. However, its circulation will maintain the likelihood of torrential rains in Guerrero and Oaxaca, as well as heavy rains in Puebla, Chiapas, and Veracruz, along with winds of 40 to 50 km/h (25 to 31 mph) with gusts of 60 to 80 km/h (37 to 50 mph) and waves of 1.5 to 2.5 meters (5 to 8 feet) high along the coasts of these states. These winds will continue to gradually decrease.

Meanwhile, low-pressure channels over the Northern Mesa, the Central Mesa, northwest and eastern Mexico, interacting with atmospheric instability and the influx of moisture from the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea, will cause intense rainfall in Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Querétaro and Hidalgo.

Very heavy rainfall in Nayarit, Nuevo León, Guanajuato, the State of Mexico, Tabasco, Campeche, and Quintana Roo; heavy rain in Sinaloa, Durango, Zacatecas (south), Morelos, Tlaxcala, and Yucatán; and showers in Sonora, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Aguascalientes, and Mexico City.

All rainfall will be accompanied by lightning. Heavy, very heavy, intense, and torrential rains could cause rising river and stream levels, landslides, ponding, and flooding in low-lying areas.

Mexican Monsoon

By Friday, low-pressure channels over the Northern Mesa, northwest, east, and southeast of the country, interacting with atmospheric instability and the influx of moisture from the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Sea, will cause showers and heavy to very heavy rains, accompanied by lightning, in the aforementioned regions, as well as in the west, center, and south of the country. Intense to torrential rains are forecast in Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Hidalgo, Puebla, Veracruz, and Chiapas.

The Mexican monsoon pattern is expected to establish itself over northwestern Mexico starting today.

Finally, hot to very hot weather will prevail over northwestern and northern Mexico, as well as the Yucatan Peninsula. The heat wave will continue throughout today in parts of Sonora, Chihuahua, Durango, and Sinaloa, ending on Saturday.

Valley of Mexico

Cloudy skies throughout the day. Cool skies in the morning, with a chance of rain and fog in parts of the Mexico City Valley. In the afternoon, mild skies will be expected with showers and heavy rain in Mexico City and heavy to very heavy rain in the State of Mexico, accompanied by possible lightning.

Conditions that could reduce visibility on stretches of road, cause puddles, landslides, flooding, and rising river and stream levels.

The minimum temperature for Mexico City will be 14 to 16°C and the maximum will be 19 to 21°C. Toluca is forecast to have a minimum temperature of 9 to 11°C and a maximum of 16 to 18°C. Winds will be variable at 10 to 20 km/h (6 to 12 mph) with gusts of up to 40 km/h (25 mph) in stormy areas, according to the National Meteorological Service (SMN ).

72-96 Hour Forecast Summary (Saturday, June 21 to Monday, June 23)

During the forecast period of the Conagua agency , low pressure channels over the Northern Tableland, northeast and east of the national territory, in interaction with divergence and the entry of humidity from the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea, will maintain the rainy season over much of the country, causing showers and heavy to very heavy rains accompanied by electrical discharges in the aforementioned regions, in addition to the west, center, south and southeast of the Mexican Republic, including the Valley of Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula; with intense rains forecast in Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí and Veracruz.

The Mexican monsoon will prevail over the northwest of the country, maintaining the likelihood of heavy to very heavy rains accompanied by lightning and possible hail in that region. Heavy rains are forecast in Chihuahua, Durango, and Sinaloa.

Likewise, the hot to very hot weather will continue over the northwest and north of Mexico, as well as the Yucatan Peninsula.

Risks

• Heavy to torrential rains could cause rising river and stream levels, landslides, flooding, and puddles.
• Strong gusts of wind could cause trees and billboards to fall.

Rain forecast for Friday, June 20 :

• Intense rains with torrential rains (150 to 250 mm): Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí and Veracruz.
• Very heavy rains with intense rainfall (75 to 150 mm): Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Durango, Hidalgo, Puebla and Chiapas.
• Heavy rains with very heavy rainfall (50 to 75 mm): Chihuahua, Nuevo León, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero and Oaxaca.
• Showers with heavy rainfall (25 to 50 mm): Sonora, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, Mexico City, Tabasco, Campeche and Quintana Roo.
• Intervals of showers (5 to 25 mm): Coahuila, Morelos and Yucatán.

Temperature forecast for Friday, June 20 :

• Maximum temperatures above 45 °C: Baja California (north) and Sonora.
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Chihuahua (northeast and southwest) and Sinaloa (north).
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Baja California Sur, Coahuila, Durango, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Maximum temperature of 30 to 35 °C: Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Zacatecas, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero and Veracruz (south).

Wind and wave forecast for Friday, June 20:

• Winds of 30 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Nuevo León and Tamaulipas; with possible dust storms: Baja California, Chihuahua, and Coahuila.
• Winds of 20 to 30 km/h (12.5 to 18.8 mph) with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h (25 to 37 mph): Sinaloa, Durango, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, Quintana Roo, and the Veracruz coast; with possible dust storms: Baja California Sur and Sonora.
• Waves of 2.5 to 3.5 meters high: coasts of Tamaulipas and Veracruz.
• Waves of 1.5 to 2.5 meters high: western coast of Baja California.

Saturday, June 21:

• Very heavy rains with intense rainfall (75 to 150 mm): Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí and Veracruz.
• Heavy rains with very heavy rainfall (50 to 75 mm): Chihuahua, Durango, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Michoacán, Nuevo León, Zacatecas (south), Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla, Oaxaca and Chiapas.
• Showers with heavy rainfall (25 to 50 mm): Sonora, Aguascalientes, Tlaxcala, State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos, Guerrero and Colima.
• Intervals of showers (5 to 25 mm): Coahuila, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatan and Quintana Roo.
• Winds of 30 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Chihuahua, Nuevo León, and Tamaulipas; with possible dust storms: Baja California, Sonora, and Coahuila.
• Winds of 20 to 30 km/h (12 to 18 mph) with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h (25 to 37 mph): Durango, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, Quintana Roo, and the Veracruz coast; with possible dust storms: Baja California Sur.
• Maximum temperatures above 45 °C: Baja California (northeast).
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Sonora and Chihuahua (northeast).
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Baja California Sur, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Durango, Sinaloa, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Maximum temperature of 30 to 35 °C: Zacatecas (south), Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas and Veracruz (south).

Sunday, June 22:

• Very heavy rains with intense rainfall (75 to 150 mm): Chihuahua, Durango, San Luis Potosí and Veracruz.
• Heavy rains with very heavy rainfall (50 to 75 mm): Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tamaulipas, Querétaro, Hidalgo, Puebla and the State of Mexico.
• Showers with heavy rainfall (25 to 50 mm): Sonora, Colima, Nuevo León, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Mexico City, Morelos, Tlaxcala, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Intervals of showers (5 to 25 mm): Coahuila, Tabasco and Campeche.
• Winds of 30 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Chihuahua and Tamaulipas; with possible dust storms: Coahuila and Nuevo León.
• Winds of 20 to 30 km/h (12 to 18 mph) with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h (25 to 37 mph): Durango, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, Quintana Roo, and the Veracruz coast; with possible dust storms: Baja California, Baja California Sur, and Sonora.
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Baja California (northeast).
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Baja California Sur, Sonora, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Durango, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Maximum temperature of 30 to 35 °C: Zacatecas (north and south), San Luis Potosí (east) and Veracruz (center and south).

Monday, June 23:

• Very heavy rains with intense rainfall (75 to 150 mm): Chihuahua, Durango and Sinaloa.
• Heavy rains with very heavy rainfall (50 to 75 mm): Sonora, Nayarit, Jalisco, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Showers with heavy rainfall (25 to 50 mm): Colima, Zacatecas, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Hidalgo, State of Mexico, Puebla and Veracruz.
• Intervals of showers (5 to 25 mm): Coahuila, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Tlaxcala, Mexico City, Morelos and Tabasco.
• Winds of 30 to 40 km/h with gusts of 50 to 70 km/h: Chihuahua; with possible dust storms: Coahuila, Nuevo León, and Tamaulipas.
• Winds of 20 to 30 km/h (12.5 to 18.8 mph) with gusts of 40 to 60 km/h (25 to 37 mph): Durango, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, Quintana Roo, the Veracruz coast, and the Isthmus and Gulf of Tehuantepec; with possible dust storms: Baja California, Baja California Sur, and Sonora.
• Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C: Baja California (northeast), Sonora, Chihuahua (northeast) and Sinaloa (north).
• Maximum temperatures of 35 to 40 °C: Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Durango, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo.
• Maximum temperature of 30 to 35 °C: Baja California Sur, Zacatecas (north and south), San Luis Potosí (east) and Veracruz (center and south).